EconomicsNotes

  Departure from the European Union obviously carries with it micro- and macro-economic effects. Only one country has so far left the union (the UK) but others may choose to do so in the future. As a general rule, prediction is not predictive; circumstances and contexts apply. The terms on which a state might leave matter. Nevertheless, there are things which all governments and voters contemplating such a move might bear in mind. The EU is a customs union and contains a single market. A customs union, by definition, creates one tariff on imports around the zone, and a single market ensures smooth trade, a common baseline of standards and regulations, and the free movement of capital, products, goods and services, people, and investment. Any state which left such an arrangement would, even with a comprehensive trade deal, become a third party. It could no longer influence the tariff decisions of the bloc after a transition period, and would without a deal have to pay the import...

The balance of payments is the measure of all economic transactions between an economy and the rest of the world. As such, it covers the whole economy and should not be confused with the Government Budget. The balance of payments must always balance and if there is a deficit or surplus in goods, services, or some other component of the balance, it will be met with an equal change in the value of money or other asset. In a free exchange market, for instance, the currency of the country will adjust to alter living standards and the source of any surplus or deficit. The balance of payments consists of a current account, known as the balance of trade , a financial account , and a capital account. The current account is a record of net exports, plus income from abroad and direct transfers into a country. Many countries, particularly in the English-speaking world, run a deficit on this current account, because consumers and businesses purchase more imports than exports. This may well...