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Higher Energy Prices and The Economy

  Energy prices are a basic cost. They are semi-variable for most businesses, in that a basic fixed cost of energy is generated by the need to heat or to cool buildings, and to carry out operations. In addition, a marginal cost exists for producers in terms of the energy required to increase production. Finally, energy costs are also built into the transport of raw materials, and the distribution of finished goods and services, which again contribute to marginal costs. If global energy prices are rising wholesale, it is unlikely that businesses or individuals will be able to lower the retail cost of energy by switching between suppliers. Energy storage is expensive and encourages economies of scale and oligopolies, in which consumer choice is limited at times of higher wholesale prices. When energy prices are low, smaller companies can purchase wholesale and make money at the margin undercutting bigger companies as storage costs will be a burden for the latter and the small compa...

Will the legacy of COVID be an economically more unequal world?

  The world since 1987 has become remarkably less unequal than it was. This is because of sustained growth in areas which had traditionally been rich in human history but which two hundred years of Imperial inequality had destabilised, such as South America, the Middle East, India, and East Asia. In those countries and areas, incomes have generally risen along with GDP/GNI, wages have increased, land value increases have provided one-off but huge benefits to many who were formerly peasants, and living standards have increased (at the temporary expense of the environment.) By contrast, Western countries have seen the opposite since 1973; their real wages and purchasing power have declined, their domination of world markets in a growing number of sectors and services has come under challenge, their national debts (since 2000) have generally grown, and their economies and supply chains have become globalised and financialised. This has not resulted in more unemployment, but has fo...